Forex Analysis & Reviews: 06.01.2022 - US premarket on January 6:...

06.01.2022 02:02 PM

US premarket on January 6: the main reason for the fall of the US stock market is the Fed

During this morning's trading on Thursday, Dow futures rose slightly after falling sharply yesterday. Everything happened because of the publication of the minutes of the Federal Reserve System from its December meeting, from which it became clear that the regulator is serious.

Dow Jones Industrial Average futures added 66 points or 0.17%. S&P 500 futures rose 0.17%, while Nasdaq 100 futures declined slightly. Shares of energy companies helped the market recover slightly, as oil prices rose by 1.5%. Marathon Oil shares gained 2.6%, Occidental Petroleum - 2.2%, and ExxonMobil - 1.3%.

As noted above, the minutes of the December meeting of the Federal Reserve System revealed that the central bank is preparing to abandon its support programs much faster than expected. Officials discussed reducing the Fed's balance sheet as another step to reduce its loose monetary policy during the pandemic.

Federal Reserve officials have said that a strengthening economy and higher inflation could lead to an earlier and faster increase in interest rates than expected, with some policymakers also advocating starting to reduce the balance sheet immediately after that. "Taking into account individual views on the economy, the labor market, and inflation, it may be justified to raise the federal funds rate earlier or faster than previously expected," the minutes of the December meeting of the Federal Committee says.

Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said at a press conference after the December meeting that recent inflation data had influenced their decisions. According to the Labor Department, consumer prices in the United States rose by 6.8% in the 12 months to November 2021, which was the fastest growth in almost four decades.

No one believed that the Fed would begin to act so actively, especially in terms of reducing the number of treasury bonds and mortgage-backed securities from its balance sheet. The minutes say that almost all Fed representatives agree that it would be appropriate to start reducing the balance sheet immediately after the first increase in interest rates on federal funds. All this led to a stock market crash.

Following yesterday's results, the Dow Jones Industrial Average blue-chip index closed 392.54 points lower, losing 1.07%. The S&P 500 fell by 1.94%, and technologically, the Nasdaq collapsed by 3.34% at once.

Quarterly earnings reports from Walgreens Boots Alliance and Bed Bath & Beyond are expected today. As for the data, it is also worth paying attention to the weekly report on initial applications for unemployment benefits in the United States. Economists expect the total number of applications for the week ending January 1 to be 195,000. Data on the trade balance will also be published, while economists expect that the deficit of goods and services will amount to $ 81.5 billion.

Let me remind you that yesterday the payroll processing company ADP reported an increase of 807,000 new jobs in the private sector, which indicates a possible surprise that tomorrow's report from the US Department of Labor is preparing for us.

In the premarket, banking and financial sector stocks remain among the growth leaders. For example, Bank of America gained 1.5%, and Citigroup - 1.4%. Wells Fargo shares rose 1.3%.

As for the technical picture of the S&P 500

The collapse of the index led to the demolition of several key levels. Now the bears' focus is on the support of $4,665, below which buyers will have really serious problems. A break in this range will dump the trading instrument in the area of $4,611 and $4,551. Buyers need to win back yesterday's fall, and given that tomorrow we are waiting for data on the labor market, which will be very positive, part of yesterday's sales may be quickly blocked today. A break of $4,722 will return the trading instrument to a larger resistance of $4,772.

Bạn đã thích bài đăng này hôm nay

*Phân tích thị trường được đăng tải ở đây có nghĩa là để gia tăng nhận thức của bạn, nhưng không đưa ra các chỉ dẫn để thực hiện một giao dịch.

If you have any content questions, please contact editorial-board@instaforex.com

Stock Markets

Jakub Novak,
Chuyên gia phân tích của InstaForex
© 2007-2025

Thêm các bài viết của tác giả này

E-mail subscription

EURUSD

Euro vs US Dollar

Chọn khung thời gian

phút

giờ

ngày

tuần

Bắt đầu giao dịch

Kiếm lợi nhuận từ những biến đổi giá của tiền điện tử với InstaForex.

Tải MetaTrader 4 và mở giao dịch đầu tiên của bạn.

Các bài báo được đề xuất

Dự báo Thị trường Chứng khoán ngày 21 tháng 3: S&P 500 và NASDAQ chịu áp lực trở lại

Thị trường Mỹ đang trong giai đoạn củng cố. Trump tìm kiếm sự ủng hộ của Thượng viện cho cuộc tấn công Iran

Federal Reserve ném chiếc phao cứu sinh cho thị trường chứng khoán

Thị trường Mỹ tăng khi Fed giữ nguyên lãi suất

Thị trường chứng khoán Mỹ ngày 20 tháng 3: S&P 500 và Nasdaq lấy lại vị thế

Dự báo S&P 500 cho ngày 20 tháng 3, năm 2025

Tổng quan thị trường Mỹ: Điều chỉnh sau tăng trưởng. Tập trung vào Fed. Không kỳ vọng thay đổi lãi suất

Tổng quan thị trường chứng khoán ngày 18 tháng 3: S&P 500 và Nasdaq tăng trưởng ngày thứ hai liên tiếp

Thị trường chứng khoán Mỹ: hai ngày tăng từ các mức hỗ trợ

Phân tích thị trường chứng khoán ngày 17 tháng 3: S&P 500 và Nasdaq tiếp tục chịu áp lực

Các phân tích hàng đầu